A Finder survey has found almost half of experts saying it was likely that Australia would experience quantitative easing in 2020, contrary to recent predictions from RBA governor Philip Lowe.
Mr Lowe said recently that the RBA had “no appetite” for QE, a process where the central bank creates new cash to decrease, or ease, the cost of borrowing.
“QE is not on the agenda at this time,” Governor Lowe told at the annual dinner of the Australian Business Economists.
However, the latest Finder RBA Cash Rate Survey found that 46 per cent of experts said it was likely we’d see QE in 2020.
Finder insights manager Graham Cooke said QE will be on the cards if the rate cuts continue to be ineffective beyond the housing market.
“The RBA said it may look to alternative stimulus methods once the rate hits 0.25 per cent,” Mr Cooke said.
“We’re only two cuts away from that, and the three cuts of 2019 have failed to stimulate anything beyond the housing market.”
The Finder survey drew from 33 experts and economists to weigh in on future cash rate moves and economic indicators, including wage growth and housing affordability.
It found that while economists almost universally expected no cut in December, many experts are forecasting a cut in February.
Further, Finder noted that a forecasted cut in February may be the last for a significant period, with three-quarters (73 per cent) of economists saying a 0 per cent, cash rate is unlikely.
Economists agree that the Reserve Bank is likely to remain in inflation fighting mode until December. ...