Deflation will remain a pressing concern in global markets throughout 2015, argues CommSec.
In a paper titled Economic Insights: The Big Issues of 2015, CommSec chief economist Craig James said deflation was “occupying the minds of central bankers in the northern hemisphere”.
“It is quite remarkable, that with interest rates close to zero across many parts of the world and many central banks injecting stimulus via bond buying, that concerns about deflation still abound,” he said.
He suggested sluggish economic growth in regions like Europe, Japan and parts of Latin America were fuelling deflationary fears.
“Central bankers are finding it hard to kick-start growth.
“Confidence remains shaky; consumers and businesses are reluctant to take on debt; and governments are unsure [of] the best way to move forward,” he said.
He suggested low inflation may be influenced by a change in the commodity price cycle.
“China has largely moved through the ramp-up phase of industrialisation where demand for resources runs ahead of supply.
“Supply has now caught up, and rather than commodity prices pushing higher, they are moving south, injecting a deflationary pulse,” he said.
In addition, he suggested lower oil prices were contributing to the risk of deflation.
“Saudi Arabia is effectively trying to support its competitive position, and the position of OPEC more generally, in the global oil market.
“US energy production has been ramped up through shale oil, and in other economies, gas, ‘green’ energy solutions, and nuclear fuel,” he said.
New research has found the consequences that fees can have on an investment and how higher fees do not necessarily correlate with performanc...
A new fund based on a long-running strategy from asset manager Insight Investment has been added to the Macquarie Wrap platform. ...
The Australian ETF industry continued its strong growth trajectory, reaching a record high of $42.29 billion in FUM in September, according ...